Friday, September 26, 2008

Week 5 College Football Picks

Week 1: 3-4
Week 2: 4-4
Week 3: 5-2
Week 4: 1-8 (yikes)

Wow...my hatred for Stanford has never been higher. Usually i've hated on them for their doofus twin centers like the Lopez's and the Collins' but now it's because of their football team and their score running up. That's one of the worst losses in my gambling career. My apologies for the bad week but i promise it won't happen again:

As always we start with Temple and boy we just can't catch a break. Starter Adam DiMichele is out for 3-6 weeks so we now turn to the freshman arm of Chester Stewart. Kid is a mobile QB and didnt completely suck ass when he was thrown to the wolves in happy valley. In comes Western Michigan with their big time offense. This line is at 4 in most places with the o/u of 47. Weather may be an issue in this game once again. I have such a good feeling about the Owls winning this game outright but my official pick in this game is the under. The Owls offense has never been a juggernaut but their defense will keep them in this. Take Under 47

I can't believe i'm going to make this next pick after the Hoosiers performance last week but it's almost time for the yearly Spartan downfall. Granted they can run the ball well but Hoyer has yet to show a pulse generating an air attack. The Hoosiers have to be embarrassed at how they played against Ball State. I'm a huge fan of home teams with a pulse getting points at home. Take IU +8

West Virginia and Marshall renew rivalries on the football field and guess what Marshall is pretty good. Their offense has been rolling as of late while WVU's Defense has been stumbling big time. Love the over 51.5

Colorado and Florida State play in Jacksonville. This will be a tight low scoring game. Colorado nearly lost to EWU but beat West Virginia. Florida State managed 3 points at home against Wake Forest. I like the Under 41

Buffalo will most likely be without James Starks and CMU hasn't really had that breakout game yet this year. The Bulls are a solid team who kept up with Missouri for a half but in conference play it's different. MU was bored with Buffalo....CMU will get bored too on their way to a 17 point win. CMU -6.5

The wrong team is favored in a game this weekend and i love it. How the heck is New Mexico favored at NMSU. The Aggies have the better offense in this game and if it gets to be any sort of a shootout, i'll take the team who can win thru the air as opposed to a team that will rely on the run. Ferguson may go for 2 bills but NMSU gets the win. NMSU +3.5 and Over 53

My hatred for those stinkin Trees in California may blind me here but I hope Washington grinds those a-holes into the ground. Gimme the Fighting Lockers to get on the Win column. U-Dub -3.5

That's all for now folks.

Friday, September 19, 2008

Week 4 College Football Picks

Week 1: 3-4
Week 2: 4-4
Week 3: 5-2

Great week from everyone except my beloved Owls. The pain of seeing that hail mary over and over is still setting in. For some reason four guys decided to be BEHIND the guy catching the ball instead of in front or trying to knock the ball down. So close to 3-0 this season...man, you wouldnt believe how stoked i'd be with that.

We begin with Temple and Penn State. In the past, this has been a blowout of epic proportions and a 1st half bet would be almost a gimmie as PSU would be up 21-0 before you know it. This Temple team has a pulse and a 1st half bet isn't as easy as usual. The spread is rising and is 29 in some places. While I can't pull the trigger on the Owls, i just can't do it for Penn State either. Al Golden has the respect of JoePa. I don't love any side in this game but the Under would be the best play if i had any....Officially, no play in this game for me.

Georgia Tech/Miss State is where i'm goin next. These two teams don't exactly light up the scoreboard but have the defenses that prevent the other team from doin the same. There will be a ton of running if not because Carroll and Nesbitt are bad. The o/u is 38 and that seems like a good number to me. Under 38

One of the best plays on the board is in Raleigh where NC State gets their crack at East Carolina. The Pirates were wholly unimpressive last week and will be in an ugly affair with the Pack. Hopefully Russell Wilson bounces back. I like the Under 44.5 in this game as i don't think ECU scores 30 or NC State gets to 14.

The BEST play on the board is the Naval Academy. This team has been fed to the wolves going into two relatively hostile environments...okay okay....Duke and Ball State are two up-and-comers in the country. Rutgers has sucked...plain and simple and even worse it's been at home. The road game may be therapy for them but they havent gotten on track. Teel and Underwood havent been on the same page yet. There will be a TON of points in this game. If there was a parlay on the board, go Navy +6 definitely and then if you are daring add over 61.5

UNC/Va Tech is an interesting game. The spread has gone up a little to 3 points essentially making this an even game with the homefield getting three. The Heels are flying high off a win over Rutgers while the Hokies have beaten Ga Tech. I still dont think they've fixed everything so i like the Heels -3 in a program building game for Butch Davis.

New Mexico and Tulsa are two teams who can put up a ton of points. Granted, they do it in different ways with the Lobos using Ferguson while the Hurricane do it thru the air. New Mexico broke out last week in a big way and i feel like it continues this week. I like this play the least but a small play on New Mexico +11

This is a quick hitter here.....Miami Ohio doesnt impress me....Cincinnati is a solid home team and has the defense to keep this unimpressive Redhawk attack in check....Gimme the Bearcats -11.

I hate making this many plays in a week but the board is too juicy....Love Under 38 in LSU/Auburn....If the Tigers could only put up 2 on Miss State then what will they do against the Tigers. Psst...Tommy, the spread offense needs talent...you don't have the pieces to run it.

Final Pick, San Jose State +9....Dick Tomey has done a great job and Kyle Reed finally gets his crack at Stanford...granted it's not with California.

Friday, September 12, 2008

Week 3 College Football Picks

Week 1: 3-4
Week 2: 4-4

A few more close overs that just fell short. Stinkin Arizona missed a FG for my over...Stinkin Ball State falling short.

As we always do, it's time to start with Temple. The Owls were robbed again of a poor spot by the officials in their game with the UConn Huskies. Temple won that game....it's a win....Now they must head to Buffalo in a must win situation. The Bulls crushed them last year and made them look foolish. UB will be up for this game. If the Owls hope to win, they'll need to open up the playbook more. The Defense will have to stop James Starks too. I actually have no lean on this game. There are two scenarios i can see....One Buffalo controls the clock and wins in a workmanlike effort in the roundabouts of 27-17. Two, i can see a shootout where the Owls actually use their weapons and keep up within one possession. Due to the 6 point spread...there's no pick from this game. If you can buy points...i'd get this thing above 7 and take Temple.

The funny thing about taking the over...you arent winning most of the game. There are a couple of games that scream over in the Noon hour. Both the Duke/Navy and Toledo/EMU games have the potential for a lot of points. The Blue Devils will gash Navy thru the air while Navy will Shun White the Blue Devils to death. Toledo and EMU do their dirty work thru the air. I'll take a flier on the over on both at 58.

BYU/UCLA is where im heading next...It's a big game for the Cougs as many think they will be BCS busters. This line has gone down probably due to many thinking the Bruins are better then they really are. I managed to get the line to 7 and i'll take BYU. This is their chance one again to prove themselves in front of a huge Versus audience. BYU -7 big

Home teams in the SEC even with lesser talent are still a good play. If this game was at Auburn, they'd crush em. I havent been impressed with the Tigers who are still feeling their way thru the spread offense. Getting 10.5 points at home in front of a jazzed crowd is always a good bet in my book. Sure they lost at La Tech but by the same situation Miss State will be up for this game. They probably don't win outright but they'll keep it close. Vegas thinks so too as the ou is only 39. Miss State +10.5

Nebraska may put up 50 themselves....so when i see an over/under of 59 in a game like that against an offense with a semi-pulse, i'll jump all over the over. Gimme Over 59 in Nebraska.

One parlay this week....gimme Fresno +1 and the under 49.5...This is going to be played tight to the vest in a Big 10 style of game. Lots of grind out ball with Matthews and Hill running. Neither team's passing attack is all that stellar. I see Fresno pullin out a 23-20 game.

Friday, September 5, 2008

Week 2 College Football Picks

Week 1: 3-4

Well last week was frustrating having a couple of losses come pretty close to the end. We bounce back as the 1st week is always a learning experience.

As always we start with Temple and I may be blinded by my allegiance but this game has been the one this team and fanbase has pointed to since last year. Lawn placards and signs have been made dubbing this the battle number 2. Temple is a 7 point dog in a game where weather is a factor. Last year's game was a Temple victory snatched from them by Mike Tranghese. Temple wins this game outright this weekend thus the seven points are a gift. Temple +7

Next, being in Virginia i feel like this is a definite game of interest. Richmond, who is one of the best teams in I-AA goes to a crappy ass UVA in a deluge expected. six inches of rain are being called for.The Spiders are led by former UVA d-coordinator Mike London and have the talent to keep up. Ras-I Dowling and Mikell Simpson are questionable. Give me Richmond +14

Friday night is a great opportunity for money as last night was. Love the over in a game which could feature ridiculous college fantasy numbers. Something like 45-35 in a game with these two offenses is possible....Over 60 in Ball State/Navy

Central Michigan +24 -- The Chippewas have a pulse...granted they don't have the defense to keep up with Georgia but I think if they get 17 points, it's enough to cover in this game. LeFevour is a solid enough quarterback and their offense is good enough to get points when UGA takes their foot off the pedal.

Duke +7 -- Yeah, yeah i know....this is a popular pick im sure. There's a mystique to this team that hasnt been there for awhile. The fans came out to the opener and the team didnt make the mistakes that bad teams usually make. Northwestern looked good against Syracuse but Duke is better. I'd even parlay the +7 with the over too. Points will be put up.

MTSU +14 -- Last year, UVA went to Murfreesboro and nearly came away with a loss. Their team was better that year then the UMD entering MTSU this year. Maryland has QB issues and general issues with moving the ball outside of Da'Rel Scott.

Arizona/Toledo Over 59 -- That Wildcat defense will get a stiffer test this week. Toledo's got the weapons to keep up with Zona. Someone reaches 40 and the other team will reach 20. This will be an easy over.

Have fun, good luck and Go Owls.

Sunday, August 31, 2008

Week One College Football Review

Alright, the picks didnt go as well as hoped but it's still the first week of the season. There's so much to learn and so much to soak in from the first week:

- How fast will that redshirt come off Tyrod? Let's be honest here, Sean Glennon has a lot to work on and I still maintain that the Hokies are indirectly telling their fans to write off this season especially if they dont un-redshirt Tyrod. Those of you who took under 9 wins for the Hokies this year are in great shape. Glennon showed flashes of brilliance but so has Rob Johnson and Ty Detmer. That's all Glennon will ever be. The defense looked good in the game but they need help from the Offense.
- UVA....what can be said...I mean standing o for playing USC but it should have been a rude reminder how far off this team is. Lalich started the game surprising literally no one but that didnt help. The Trojans showed the country how deep their team is once again while UVA showed the world that it's not quite ready for relevance.
- Richmond...Get ready Spider fans for a special season once again. The offense has reloaded and the defense is as stout as ever. Get your taunts ready for Hoo fans because there is a great shot you guys win next week. Eric Ward had a near flawless game and the defense held down a solid Elon offense.
- Clemson/ACC.....Nice work on Saturday. I guess the choke comes early this year. I mean it wasn't even funny how outclassed the Tigers were on Saturday night. Wake Forest has this conference wrapped up. Congrats to Duke too for their victory...in this weakened conference the Blue Devils may be a factor. UNC struggled with McNeese State too....Should be wild.
- Pittsburgh/Syracuse....Can Coaches Wannstedt and Robinson please pick up the courtesy phone? Your paychecks are waiting.
- Michigan....Not that most of us didnt expect it to be a long year for the Big Blue, but that loss hurt. The Big House is one of the most overrated stadiums in sports. When's the last time a less talented Ohio State and LSU lost at home to a team they should beat? I put part of that blame on the fans. They play a part in the game too....
- Temple.....You folks still have your shot to jump on the bandwagon for our big game next week against UConn....once the Owls move to 2-0....you've lost your shot at premiere membership, if you jump on after that you only get bronze membership which means you must say to me every day that i was right all along.

That's all for now.

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Week One College Football Picks....

Last year we hit 65% of our games and this year we're going to surge higher like the Owls as well....Those of you who followed my picks last year know that i always start with the Temple game...

Temple -7 @ Army: The unbridled enthusiasm of the Owls fanbase is amazing for this year. Al Golden pointed to this as the beginning of our time to shine and I truly think it could happen. The problem is that the rise will have to occur on the road. Clearly, Temple is a better team then Army but will they revert to the Owls of old who lose to worse teams on the road. I have the utmost faith that Temple will win this game but I will NEVER feel easy laying points with them on the road. Plus, they almost never kill anyone....Give me Army +7 but take the Owls ML. With regards to the total, i'm hesitant to play either side but gun to my head i like the under.

Elsewhere:

South Carolina/NC State Under 45: It's the perfect matchup to exploit the under....The Wolfpack is solid enough on D to keep it close while the Gamecock D is good enough to keep the young Wolfpack offense down. Russell Wilson is going to be a star in the ACC but he's not ready to win on the road especially in an SEC atmosphere. Get to know Alan Michael Cash as he's going to wreck havoc on South Carolina in a 23-14 type game.

Va Tech/ECU Under 47.5: Another game that screams for an under. The Hokie offense will need time to gel with all of the new RB's and WR's. ECU's defense is just good enough to slow them down while the Hokie defense despite not having the big names of last year's team, will do just enough to not let the Pirates run away. Neither of these teams have big play potential which kills the under. Also love ECU +9.5. While i'm on the side of the Hokies in the UVA/Tech rumble down here in Richmond, I think that the Pirates will keep this game close. Pinkney last year kept ECU in the game in Blacksburg and that's with all the "Names" on defense.

UVA +20: Man, i hate games like this. USC has more talent then the hoos....heck their 2nd team may have more too. The Trojans do their business in games like this in workman-like manner. UVA's linebacker corps is very underrated in the scope of college football. I can see a 31-13 game.

La Tech +8: A rare chance for this WAC team to host an SEC team. I'm a big fan of the homedog early on especially before their fanbase realizes whether or not their team will suck. Patrick Jackson is gonna do some damage in this game.

La Monroe +26: Look I must be nuts and last year in this situation when i've taken the Sun Belt at the SEC, it was nailbiter city. I feel like the new clock rules benefit a team like ULM and Auburn. The Tigers will want to get this game moving and once they get a lead they can milk the clock. ULM has the veterans at skill positions to put up some points.

More will be added later or taken off but these are my early picks....

Monday, August 18, 2008

Virginia Tech

With today's news about Zach Luckett, it's hard to see how Hokies fans are as optimistic as they are. A quick check of the sportsbook has people pounding the over 9 win total that they set for Virginia Tech and at an alarming rate. Those maroon glasses must be strong because i've never seen a time that has as much positivity yet so many holes. Who is going to run the ball? Who is going to catch it? Who is going to throw it?

Listen, we all know that they SHOULD win all of their home games but that's 6 with a neutral site ECU and a couple of tough roadies. Even with the most optimistic prediction of 6 wins at home, they'd still have to win 3 more to even push the 9. I'd love to see this team put it all together and shut me up but I have some strong issues with what this team is trying to do.

UVA? They have a ton of issues too but it seems Hoo fans have a level head and expect a rough time. It's not like they think USC's a win and some realize Richmond's gonna be tough too. The first Virginia team to figure out who their QB, RB problem will be the first one to race towards a mediocre bowl this season. Sadly i feel i won't even get to gorge on chick-fil-a :(