Interesting day yesterday. I want to see more time for Ramone Moore as a zone buster for the Owls. I expect us to grind Duquesne into the ground before prolly falling to Richmond on Saturday.
X/Fordham Over 145 -- I feel like the Muskies will do most of the heavy lifting for this. If X can get to 85 or 90 I feel comfortable this hits.
St. Joe/Duquesne Over 143 -- St. Joe's has one of the worst defenses statistically in the country. The Dukes have a lot of weapons. I think this one is a get up and down affair.
Northern Colorado/Montana State Over 137.5 -- These two played earlier and MSU pounded UNC. I feel like payback's a bitch and this one gets up there points-wise. I am concerned that Montana State averages approx 63 on the road but I think once again, the home team does a lot of the heavy lifting.
Drexel +4 -- The Dragons are hot right now. The Tribe is going the other way so I'm going to take my philly boys in a game that they can win outright with stingy defense and timely offense.
Sunday, January 31, 2010
Saturday, January 30, 2010
Saturday's Selections
Temple/La Salle -- I think Temple wins this game. It was a bad mix of foul trouble, homecooking from the refs and a hot Charlotte team that contributed to their loss. I dont know if I can take Temple -11.5 because I think that's an awful lot for this game. If the Explorers throw one of their clunkers then yes that's a good play. I don't see it coming as they play us tough always. I'm not playing the game but IF you must......Take La Salle +11.5 and I'd even consider a small play on the over. The Owls defense has been a bit leaky lately and I feel like this game could have both teams make the 60's.
My plays:
Rhode Island -10 -- I don't think GW can keep up with the Rams. If URI gets their pace, which im thinking they will, this game will not be close. The Colonials don't have the firepower to keep up with them.
OK State/Missouri Over 145 -- Both teams will want to run in this one. I think this thing is played in the 70's. Missou averages almost 88 at home. That should be plenty.
St. Louis +7.5 -- I'm banking on St. Louis in this one as I think the Spiders struggle to generate momentum without many fans and with the stingy Billiken defense.
Washington -7.5 -- The Cougs won't know what hits them up in U-Dub. I would have thought this would have been a lot higher of a spread. The Huskies are pretty damn good at home. Don't see it being close.
Auburn Pick -- Tigers 7-5 at home with and have won the last two games at home in this series. I think they make it three today.
New Orleans/Western Kentucky Over 123.5 -- WKU will want to quicken the pace and despite UNO's struggling offense, I feel like they will make this game into the 60's or 70's. Just need one team to do the scoring and I feel confident in WKU to do that.
East Carolina -6 -- I dont like making this pick without LuDawg's opinion but I feel confident that this team is better then Rice. Many offensive weapons for the Pirates.
UTEP/UAB Over 131.5 -- I know the Blazers play good defense but I'm not confident enough in them shutting down UTEP. Outside of last year's game on March 4th, this one's been a scorefest. I'm hoping for that once again. BEST PLAY OF THE DAY.
Pacific -3 -- This team just wins games. I love them today against Riverside who I have made fade material lately. I can't imagine them having much of a homecourt advantage.
San Jose State +16 -- Homestand got this team right. I like them to keep it close with Utah State.
Pepperdine +1.5 -- Not too bad of a team. No real reason why I like this but i'm on it.
My plays:
Rhode Island -10 -- I don't think GW can keep up with the Rams. If URI gets their pace, which im thinking they will, this game will not be close. The Colonials don't have the firepower to keep up with them.
OK State/Missouri Over 145 -- Both teams will want to run in this one. I think this thing is played in the 70's. Missou averages almost 88 at home. That should be plenty.
St. Louis +7.5 -- I'm banking on St. Louis in this one as I think the Spiders struggle to generate momentum without many fans and with the stingy Billiken defense.
Washington -7.5 -- The Cougs won't know what hits them up in U-Dub. I would have thought this would have been a lot higher of a spread. The Huskies are pretty damn good at home. Don't see it being close.
Auburn Pick -- Tigers 7-5 at home with and have won the last two games at home in this series. I think they make it three today.
New Orleans/Western Kentucky Over 123.5 -- WKU will want to quicken the pace and despite UNO's struggling offense, I feel like they will make this game into the 60's or 70's. Just need one team to do the scoring and I feel confident in WKU to do that.
East Carolina -6 -- I dont like making this pick without LuDawg's opinion but I feel confident that this team is better then Rice. Many offensive weapons for the Pirates.
UTEP/UAB Over 131.5 -- I know the Blazers play good defense but I'm not confident enough in them shutting down UTEP. Outside of last year's game on March 4th, this one's been a scorefest. I'm hoping for that once again. BEST PLAY OF THE DAY.
Pacific -3 -- This team just wins games. I love them today against Riverside who I have made fade material lately. I can't imagine them having much of a homecourt advantage.
San Jose State +16 -- Homestand got this team right. I like them to keep it close with Utah State.
Pepperdine +1.5 -- Not too bad of a team. No real reason why I like this but i'm on it.
Thursday, January 28, 2010
1/28 Selections
Bad night last night all around. Owls got bitten by homecooking from the Refs. Certainly told me we're not as deep as I thought and that Fernandez and Allen can't get in foul trouble.
Wake Forest +5 -- Think the Demon Deacons can win this one outright. Ga Tech is so flaky. Shut down Lawal and Favors and that team doesnt scare me as much.
Georgia State +16.5 -- Small over unders have me leaning to the underdog getting a ton of points in this one.
Citadel/Ga Southern Over 125 -- This one's gonna be scary but i'll take the team at home who will try to push the pace. Ga Southern's lack of defense should help me on this one too.
Charleston +6 -- Better team getting six points? I'll take it. Steph Curry isn't walking thru that door!
UNT/WKU Over 140 -- Love the pace in this one. Both teams have no problem picking it up. I think this one is played in the 70's.
St. Mary's/Pepperdine Over 148 -- I'm thinking SMC gets to the 80's. With that end Pepperdine can get to the 60's.
Really looking hard at UC Davis too.
Wake Forest +5 -- Think the Demon Deacons can win this one outright. Ga Tech is so flaky. Shut down Lawal and Favors and that team doesnt scare me as much.
Georgia State +16.5 -- Small over unders have me leaning to the underdog getting a ton of points in this one.
Citadel/Ga Southern Over 125 -- This one's gonna be scary but i'll take the team at home who will try to push the pace. Ga Southern's lack of defense should help me on this one too.
Charleston +6 -- Better team getting six points? I'll take it. Steph Curry isn't walking thru that door!
UNT/WKU Over 140 -- Love the pace in this one. Both teams have no problem picking it up. I think this one is played in the 70's.
St. Mary's/Pepperdine Over 148 -- I'm thinking SMC gets to the 80's. With that end Pepperdine can get to the 60's.
Really looking hard at UC Davis too.
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Wednesday's Selections
As always, we'll start with the Temple game. This is a tough one for me as Charlotte's hot right now and part of me deep down is still not convinced in this Owls team. They are due to lose but the question is do the Niners have what it takes. Last year Lavoy Allen had a big game against them but this is a different Niners team. They are deficient size-wise but have speed and a nice backcourt. I'm making no official play on this game as I'd really like to see what the Owls do in this one. They arent exactly entering this game on good form. Their defense has been a bit leaky lately excluding the Fordham game. There's better games to bet on in this card then this one. It'll show me a lot if Temple pulls this out.
Elsewhere:
William and Mary -3 -- JMU's homecourt isn't that impressive. The Dukes are inconsistent at best. They may have more athleticism but I think the Tribe is the better team. Can't afford to lose games like this as they actually have a decent resume for an at-large bid.
UNC Wilmington +6 -- Seahawks are the deeper team. Hofstra's bench is kinda short which won't help against the style of UNCW.
Western Michigan +1 -- I've made some money off these guys so I'll take a chance with them at home and the short number.
La Salle/Fordham Over 140 -- I think the Explorers have their way with Fordham. Moderately to quick paced game benefits La Salle. Despite Fordham's scoring struggles I think LS's defense will be more then accommodating.
Tennessee/Vandy Over 146 -- Two quick paced teams. This one's going to be played in the 70's.
Elsewhere:
William and Mary -3 -- JMU's homecourt isn't that impressive. The Dukes are inconsistent at best. They may have more athleticism but I think the Tribe is the better team. Can't afford to lose games like this as they actually have a decent resume for an at-large bid.
UNC Wilmington +6 -- Seahawks are the deeper team. Hofstra's bench is kinda short which won't help against the style of UNCW.
Western Michigan +1 -- I've made some money off these guys so I'll take a chance with them at home and the short number.
La Salle/Fordham Over 140 -- I think the Explorers have their way with Fordham. Moderately to quick paced game benefits La Salle. Despite Fordham's scoring struggles I think LS's defense will be more then accommodating.
Tennessee/Vandy Over 146 -- Two quick paced teams. This one's going to be played in the 70's.
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Tuesday's Selections
Unders will rarely be on my card again.
| Maryland -7 -- The Canes don't impress me much. The Terps balanced scoring will be too much for Miami. Clemson/BC Over 136 -- BC is just what Clemson asked for with regards to livening up their offense. I think this one gets up and down. What does concern me is Stitt not playing but I think the Tigers get it done. Kentucky -6.5 -- The Wildcats streak won't end in South Carolina. Not enough horses to keep up. Might be close in the beginning but 2nd half they'll pull away. Rutgers/Marquette over 138 -- Rutgers gives up 82 on the road while Marquette scores that much at home. I just hope the Scarlet Knights do enough to hold up their end. | |
Monday, January 25, 2010
Monday's Selections
4-0 day yesterday made that debacle in the NFL feel better.
St. Joe -6.5 -- At first I thought this was an easy bet but then I wondered about St. Blows and the possibility that they could actually lose this. The Hawks are the better team even though they are struggling big time. They are coming off a win at home against Dayton. Penn has played much worse this season. The Hawks will have their presence at the Palestra.
Under 144 Penn/St. Blow's -- I don't think this is a pretty game. I'm thinking something to the tune of 70-58 in this game placing it under.
Idaho/Boise Over 145 -- The Broncs are more then generous defensively on the road giving up nearly 78 points a game away from home.
SIU/WKU Over 135 -- This isnt your defense-based SIU teams from the past. These guys score 72 points at home. I think this game is moderately paced enough that we get to the 70's and go over this total.
St. Joe -6.5 -- At first I thought this was an easy bet but then I wondered about St. Blows and the possibility that they could actually lose this. The Hawks are the better team even though they are struggling big time. They are coming off a win at home against Dayton. Penn has played much worse this season. The Hawks will have their presence at the Palestra.
Under 144 Penn/St. Blow's -- I don't think this is a pretty game. I'm thinking something to the tune of 70-58 in this game placing it under.
Idaho/Boise Over 145 -- The Broncs are more then generous defensively on the road giving up nearly 78 points a game away from home.
SIU/WKU Over 135 -- This isnt your defense-based SIU teams from the past. These guys score 72 points at home. I think this game is moderately paced enough that we get to the 70's and go over this total.
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Sunday's Selections
I'm not really in LOVE with anything today. This card is very mediocre but the gambler in me needs to make some plays.
FSU/GT Under 135 -- Two of the better defensive teams in the conference. I think this one could be played in the 60's.
Seton Hall -2 -- Go figure Pittsburgh. I think SH is the more athletic team and should take care of business at home.
Penn State/Wisky Over 115 -- A total this low...I'll take my chance on the over.
Creighton/Missou State Over 138 -- Both teams average in the 70's so I feel like this could be a game played in the 70's.
As I said above...I don't love this card but it's just a few thoughts.
FSU/GT Under 135 -- Two of the better defensive teams in the conference. I think this one could be played in the 60's.
Seton Hall -2 -- Go figure Pittsburgh. I think SH is the more athletic team and should take care of business at home.
Penn State/Wisky Over 115 -- A total this low...I'll take my chance on the over.
Creighton/Missou State Over 138 -- Both teams average in the 70's so I feel like this could be a game played in the 70's.
As I said above...I don't love this card but it's just a few thoughts.
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