With the college football season almost upon us, it is time to reveal my favorite college football win totals. When looking these over...you always want to find value...don't take a side with the heavy lean....you've always gotta find value when doing these. Also, you have to do best and worst case scenarios. With that....
Kentucky Under 6.5: No Andre Woodson and no surprise value anymore with this team...they go back to SEC doormat/possible upset once in awhile.
Definite Wins: Norfolk State, MTSU, WKU
Swing Games: South Carolina, Arkansas, Georgia, Vandy
Definite Losses: @ Louisville, @ Florida, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama
Wisconsin Under 8.5
Illinois Under 8
Both of the above are on the borderline at -130/-140. Almost not worth it.
Indiana Over 5: This team's got a favorable schedule and can pull off the home upset if the road team isn't careful.
Definite Wins: WKU, Murray State, Ball State, Iowa
Swing Games: MSU, NW, CMU, Wisky, @ Minnesota
Definite Losses: @ Illy, @ PSU, @ Purdue.
Texas Tech Under 9: This year's fad team to make a splash in the league always fades in the clutch. For as good as their offense is, their defense is that bad. Harrell and Crabtree are studs tho.
Definites: EWU, SMU, UMass, Baylor, Ok State, Nebraska
Swing Games: @ Nevada, @ KSU, @ A&M, Texas,
Definite loss: @ Kansas, @ Oklahoma
Clemson Under 9.5 (+110): Another team whose hype exceeds their production usually. The talent is there but the OL needs work and so does the consistency.
Definite W: Citadel, NC State, SC State, Maryland, Ga Tech, Duke, South Carolina
Swing Games: @ Wake, vs. Bama, @ BC, @ UVA,
Definite L: @ FSU
Duke Over 3 (+130): Watch out for the Blue Devils....Trips to Wallace Wade arent layups anymore. Can't give them any definite wins but watch out.
Definite W:
Swing Games: JMU, Northwestern, Navy, UVA, Miami, NC State, UNC
Definite L: @ Ga Tech, @ Vandy, @ Wake, @ Clemson, @ Hokies
LAST ONE:
Florida Under 10 (+110): Taking a massive chance here....Most have the Gators in the title hunt but there are plenty of pitfalls for this team if they arent careful. Take a chance with some excess dough on the Under
Definite W: Hawaii, Miami, Ole Miss, Kentucky, @ Vandy, South Carolina, Citadel
Swing Games: @ Tennessee, @ Ark, LSU, Georgia, @ FSU
Definite L:
Heisman Trophy Props: Tim Tebow is of course your leader here and while there is some value with him...why not go a little off the board and find some real value on the rest who may be in NY for the ceremony. If everyone loves TTech so much why not Harrell (10-1) or Crabtree (10-1)? They may split the votes but the numbers either will put up could break records. Another pair of QB's with value are Chase Daniel (5-1) and Pat White (12-1) both of whom can run or pass their way to records and wins for their team.
Saturday, August 2, 2008
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