Saturday, August 2, 2008

Your College Football Fix....

With the college football season almost upon us, it is time to reveal my favorite college football win totals. When looking these over...you always want to find value...don't take a side with the heavy lean....you've always gotta find value when doing these. Also, you have to do best and worst case scenarios. With that....

Kentucky Under 6.5: No Andre Woodson and no surprise value anymore with this team...they go back to SEC doormat/possible upset once in awhile.
Definite Wins: Norfolk State, MTSU, WKU
Swing Games: South Carolina, Arkansas, Georgia, Vandy
Definite Losses: @ Louisville, @ Florida, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama

Wisconsin Under 8.5
Illinois Under 8

Both of the above are on the borderline at -130/-140. Almost not worth it.

Indiana Over 5: This team's got a favorable schedule and can pull off the home upset if the road team isn't careful.

Definite Wins: WKU, Murray State, Ball State, Iowa
Swing Games: MSU, NW, CMU, Wisky, @ Minnesota
Definite Losses: @ Illy, @ PSU, @ Purdue.

Texas Tech Under 9: This year's fad team to make a splash in the league always fades in the clutch. For as good as their offense is, their defense is that bad. Harrell and Crabtree are studs tho.

Definites: EWU, SMU, UMass, Baylor, Ok State, Nebraska
Swing Games: @ Nevada, @ KSU, @ A&M, Texas,
Definite loss: @ Kansas, @ Oklahoma

Clemson Under 9.5 (+110): Another team whose hype exceeds their production usually. The talent is there but the OL needs work and so does the consistency.

Definite W: Citadel, NC State, SC State, Maryland, Ga Tech, Duke, South Carolina
Swing Games: @ Wake, vs. Bama, @ BC, @ UVA,
Definite L: @ FSU

Duke Over 3 (+130): Watch out for the Blue Devils....Trips to Wallace Wade arent layups anymore. Can't give them any definite wins but watch out.

Definite W:
Swing Games: JMU, Northwestern, Navy, UVA, Miami, NC State, UNC
Definite L: @ Ga Tech, @ Vandy, @ Wake, @ Clemson, @ Hokies

LAST ONE:

Florida Under 10 (+110): Taking a massive chance here....Most have the Gators in the title hunt but there are plenty of pitfalls for this team if they arent careful. Take a chance with some excess dough on the Under

Definite W: Hawaii, Miami, Ole Miss, Kentucky, @ Vandy, South Carolina, Citadel
Swing Games: @ Tennessee, @ Ark, LSU, Georgia, @ FSU
Definite L:

Heisman Trophy Props: Tim Tebow is of course your leader here and while there is some value with him...why not go a little off the board and find some real value on the rest who may be in NY for the ceremony. If everyone loves TTech so much why not Harrell (10-1) or Crabtree (10-1)? They may split the votes but the numbers either will put up could break records. Another pair of QB's with value are Chase Daniel (5-1) and Pat White (12-1) both of whom can run or pass their way to records and wins for their team.

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