Friday, September 12, 2008

Week 3 College Football Picks

Week 1: 3-4
Week 2: 4-4

A few more close overs that just fell short. Stinkin Arizona missed a FG for my over...Stinkin Ball State falling short.

As we always do, it's time to start with Temple. The Owls were robbed again of a poor spot by the officials in their game with the UConn Huskies. Temple won that game....it's a win....Now they must head to Buffalo in a must win situation. The Bulls crushed them last year and made them look foolish. UB will be up for this game. If the Owls hope to win, they'll need to open up the playbook more. The Defense will have to stop James Starks too. I actually have no lean on this game. There are two scenarios i can see....One Buffalo controls the clock and wins in a workmanlike effort in the roundabouts of 27-17. Two, i can see a shootout where the Owls actually use their weapons and keep up within one possession. Due to the 6 point spread...there's no pick from this game. If you can buy points...i'd get this thing above 7 and take Temple.

The funny thing about taking the over...you arent winning most of the game. There are a couple of games that scream over in the Noon hour. Both the Duke/Navy and Toledo/EMU games have the potential for a lot of points. The Blue Devils will gash Navy thru the air while Navy will Shun White the Blue Devils to death. Toledo and EMU do their dirty work thru the air. I'll take a flier on the over on both at 58.

BYU/UCLA is where im heading next...It's a big game for the Cougs as many think they will be BCS busters. This line has gone down probably due to many thinking the Bruins are better then they really are. I managed to get the line to 7 and i'll take BYU. This is their chance one again to prove themselves in front of a huge Versus audience. BYU -7 big

Home teams in the SEC even with lesser talent are still a good play. If this game was at Auburn, they'd crush em. I havent been impressed with the Tigers who are still feeling their way thru the spread offense. Getting 10.5 points at home in front of a jazzed crowd is always a good bet in my book. Sure they lost at La Tech but by the same situation Miss State will be up for this game. They probably don't win outright but they'll keep it close. Vegas thinks so too as the ou is only 39. Miss State +10.5

Nebraska may put up 50 themselves....so when i see an over/under of 59 in a game like that against an offense with a semi-pulse, i'll jump all over the over. Gimme Over 59 in Nebraska.

One parlay this week....gimme Fresno +1 and the under 49.5...This is going to be played tight to the vest in a Big 10 style of game. Lots of grind out ball with Matthews and Hill running. Neither team's passing attack is all that stellar. I see Fresno pullin out a 23-20 game.

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