Friday, September 19, 2008

Week 4 College Football Picks

Week 1: 3-4
Week 2: 4-4
Week 3: 5-2

Great week from everyone except my beloved Owls. The pain of seeing that hail mary over and over is still setting in. For some reason four guys decided to be BEHIND the guy catching the ball instead of in front or trying to knock the ball down. So close to 3-0 this season...man, you wouldnt believe how stoked i'd be with that.

We begin with Temple and Penn State. In the past, this has been a blowout of epic proportions and a 1st half bet would be almost a gimmie as PSU would be up 21-0 before you know it. This Temple team has a pulse and a 1st half bet isn't as easy as usual. The spread is rising and is 29 in some places. While I can't pull the trigger on the Owls, i just can't do it for Penn State either. Al Golden has the respect of JoePa. I don't love any side in this game but the Under would be the best play if i had any....Officially, no play in this game for me.

Georgia Tech/Miss State is where i'm goin next. These two teams don't exactly light up the scoreboard but have the defenses that prevent the other team from doin the same. There will be a ton of running if not because Carroll and Nesbitt are bad. The o/u is 38 and that seems like a good number to me. Under 38

One of the best plays on the board is in Raleigh where NC State gets their crack at East Carolina. The Pirates were wholly unimpressive last week and will be in an ugly affair with the Pack. Hopefully Russell Wilson bounces back. I like the Under 44.5 in this game as i don't think ECU scores 30 or NC State gets to 14.

The BEST play on the board is the Naval Academy. This team has been fed to the wolves going into two relatively hostile environments...okay okay....Duke and Ball State are two up-and-comers in the country. Rutgers has sucked...plain and simple and even worse it's been at home. The road game may be therapy for them but they havent gotten on track. Teel and Underwood havent been on the same page yet. There will be a TON of points in this game. If there was a parlay on the board, go Navy +6 definitely and then if you are daring add over 61.5

UNC/Va Tech is an interesting game. The spread has gone up a little to 3 points essentially making this an even game with the homefield getting three. The Heels are flying high off a win over Rutgers while the Hokies have beaten Ga Tech. I still dont think they've fixed everything so i like the Heels -3 in a program building game for Butch Davis.

New Mexico and Tulsa are two teams who can put up a ton of points. Granted, they do it in different ways with the Lobos using Ferguson while the Hurricane do it thru the air. New Mexico broke out last week in a big way and i feel like it continues this week. I like this play the least but a small play on New Mexico +11

This is a quick hitter here.....Miami Ohio doesnt impress me....Cincinnati is a solid home team and has the defense to keep this unimpressive Redhawk attack in check....Gimme the Bearcats -11.

I hate making this many plays in a week but the board is too juicy....Love Under 38 in LSU/Auburn....If the Tigers could only put up 2 on Miss State then what will they do against the Tigers. Psst...Tommy, the spread offense needs talent...you don't have the pieces to run it.

Final Pick, San Jose State +9....Dick Tomey has done a great job and Kyle Reed finally gets his crack at Stanford...granted it's not with California.

No comments: